How Ukraine and Russia's militaries compare

Heavily armed Russian troops are pushing rapidly towards Ukraine's capital of Kyiv, and US officials are warning the city could fall within days.

The military capabilities of these two nations are so imbalanced that Ukraine's defiant president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, implored his Western allies overnight to do more than impose sanctions to get Russian troops off Ukrainian soil.

Here's how the two country's military capabilities stack up.

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Ukrainian servicemen walk by a deactivated Russian military multiple rocket launcher on the outskirts of Kharkiv, Ukraine.

Defence spending

Just a look at the amount of money the two nations spend on defence gives an indication of the gap between the two.

Ukraine spent $6.5 billion in 2021, just over a tenth of nuclear-armed Russia's $63.5 billion, according to "The Military Balance" report by the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), published last week.

While the Russian government launched a drive in 2008 to modernise its military, after a brief war with Georgia laid bare equipment shortfalls, Ukraine's weapons are still largely from the Soviet era.

Ukrainian soldiers take positions in downtown Kyiv, Ukraine, Friday, Feb. 25, 2022.

In its ambitions to join NATO, however, Ukraine has reorganised the structure of its armed forces, and has plans to re-equip its air force with Western combat aircraft by the mid-2030s.

It also plans to improve its naval capability.

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Ukrainian soldiers take positions in downtown Kyiv, Ukraine, Friday, Feb. 25, 2022.

Manpower

Where Russia has 900,000 active personnel in its armed forces, and two million in reserve, Ukraine has 196,000 and 900,000 reservists.

Ukraine on Wednesday began conscripting reservists aged 18 to 60, according to IISS.

Ukrainian servicemen walk at fragments of a downed aircraft seen in in Kyiv, Ukraine, Friday, Feb. 25, 2022.

In land forces alone, Russia has a twofold advantage, with 280,000 troops to Ukraine's 125,600.

And its air force is nearly five times as strong, with 165,00 to Ukraine's 35,000.

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Ukrainian soldiers take position on a bridge inside the city of Kyiv, Ukraine, Friday, Feb. 25, 2022.Ukrainian servicemen sit atop armored personnel carriers driving on a road in the Donetsk region, eastern Ukraine, Thursday, Feb. 24, 2022.

But in terms of how many troops are in this particular operation, Yohann Michel, a research analyst who worked on the IISS report, said Russia had an estimated 200,000 personnel in and around Ukraine.

"That's including around 60 battle groups," Mr Michel said.

The situation is evolving rapidly and that number could change, but it's very large, and that's important. It's one of the largest in eastern Europe that we've seen in years - in my lifetime."

"Ukrainian numbers are more difficult because everything they have is now mobilised and they have called in reservists."

Weaponry and vehicles

There is a lot to compare here - attack aircraft, armoured vehicles, surface-to-air missiles, but in general, Russia simply has more of everything.

Russia has more than 15,857 armoured fighting vehicles, for example, to Ukraine's 3,309.

It has more than 10 times the aircraft - 1,391 to Ukraine's 128, and 821 helicopters to Ukraine's 55, if you include Navy aircraft.

And where Russia has 49 submarines, Ukraine has none, according to IISS.

"There are big difference between the two forces - Russia has a much more capable air domain, its air defences are stronger," Mr Michel said.

"There is a huge difference on helicopters and planes available at every level - from transport aircraft to fighter aircraft to attack helicopters."

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Combat will

Ukrainian forces have, however, launched some successful counterattacks.

Mr Michel noted that the sheer combat will among Ukrainian troops to fight has been the armed forces' greatest strength.

"I'm really surprised at what I'm seeing. The fact that Ukrainian fighter jets are still flying, they actually took off is impressive."

If Russia takes the capital soon, it will be difficult for Ukraine to fight back.

But if it is unsuccessful, the conflict could become protracted.

That's the scenario where Ukraine's will may prove a powerful weapon, Mr Michel said.

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Ukrainian military track burns at an air defence base in the aftermath of an apparent Russian strike in Mariupol, Ukraine.

Modernisation

But with fighting going on across the country, the number and quality of armoury is a major factor.

Nick Reynolds, a Research Analyst for Land Warfare at the Royal United Services Institute, said that Ukraine's air force was now largely knocked out.

"There have been serious issues with modernisation due to Ukraine's economic problems since 2014, so the military lacks modern air defence and artillery, particularly counter-battery artillery radar and other surveillance equipment to detect enemy artillery and at least stand some chance of suppressing it with their own," Mr Reynolds said.

"These capabilities are critical for Ukraine's army to be able to manoeuvre and resupply itself."



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